EAST
#3 T Bones
vs.
#8 Cleantown
The Bones have the rank but Cleantown has the
statistics. They have more total points and beat the Bones in their week
11 meeting 102-82. The website also is recognizing the statistics over
rank by making Cleantown an early 8.6 favorite. Both teams are below
average at the QB position but I would give a slight edge to the Bones
there. I would also give a slight edge at RB to the Bones. But when we get
to the WR category it's all Cleantown and by a substantial margin. For the
Bones to win they will need big games out of Jacobs and Portis. But if
Jennings, Johnson, Owens and Welker go off for Cleantown, the Bones will
have a hard time keeping up.
#4 Green Apple
vs
#6 Rebels
Both
teams came out of the gate fast and while Green Apple faded a bit in the
second half, the Rebels faded out losing their last four straight and
consequently losing the top tier. But the Rebels demise can be directly
correlated to the loss of Tony Romo whose absence also effected their top
back Marion Barber. But Romo is now healthy and Barber back on track so
even though the Apple has the higher rank and higher point total, they
won't be playing the same team that lost their last four. The Apple's
Philip Rivers can put up the points with Romo but because of the loss of
Stephen Jackson the Rebels have the RB edge; unless Larry Johnson can pick
up the slack. But where the Apple have the clear edge is at WR. The Rebels
have Larry Fitzgerald but after that their next best receiver is Matt
Jones. If your looking for the key to this game just review what happened
in their regular season meeting back in week 6. In that game the Rebels
beat the Apple 130-124 with Romo and Barber combining for 62 points.
CENTRAL
#3 Nasty Aggravators
vs. #7
Knockout Kings
With just 7 points separating the two teams, the
fact that the Aggravators are ranked 3 and the Kings 7 really doesn't
carry much weight. Injuries have played a key factor in both these teams
season. In their week 10 meeting the Aggravators won 111-72 but the Kings
were without both Romo and Reggie Bush. The Aggravators were without
Willie Parker that game and for most of the games this year but obviously
playing without both Romo and Bush is much more detrimental than playing
without Parker; as the difference in rank will attest. Since Romo is now
definitely back the key for the Kings is if Bush will also be back.
Neither team is deep and both have about the same amount of key stud
players. The difference here just may be whether Bush plays or not. The
Kings have averaged 26 less points without him in their lineup. The
Aggravators have the tie breaker advantage because of their rank but If
Bush plays, the Knockout Kings will have the game advantage.
#4 Weekend
Warriors vs.
#5
SS Stoggies
Statistically these two teams are very close ranked
4 and 5 and separated by just 13 points scored. But you wouldn't have
known it from their week 10 meeting when the Stoggies dominated 167-114.
And in that game the Stoggies were without Marion Barber who was on a bye.
Upon examination of the Rosters the Stoggies have the potential for
another blowout. They have a significant edge at QB and RB. The WR
department however goes to the Warriors. That and a deeper roster is where
the strength of the Warriors lie. The difference in this game might come
down to coaching efficiency. The Stoggies lineup is basically set but the
Warriors have more options which means decisions to be made. Those
decisions may determine this game.
WEST
#3
Rounder 17 vs.
#8 Apaches
Not always
are the rankings wrong and according to the statistics they're right on
here. Usually a week 1 meeting would have very little meaning in week 13
but both these teams have basically the same teams now as they did then.
And the bad news for the Apaches is they lost their week 1 regular season
game against the Rounder 126-64. And even worse news is they could have
lost 168-64 had the Rounder played different players. And even more worse
news is they will be playing those different players this week. Ok before
we throw the dirt on top of the Apaches lets remember that in that first
meeting their QB was Tom Brady who produced all of 3 points before going
out for the season and they drew a zero from Willis McGahee. And lately
Brady's backup Cassel has been playing very Brady-like with back to back
39-point games. And we can't ignore the fact that the Apaches just put up
their best game of the year scoring 149 in their wildcard win. Are the
Rounder 17 the clear favorite hear, yes. But if you tell me Cassel will
put up another 39, maybe not so much.
#4
Commish West vs.
#7 Irish Talbots
The
statistics do favor Commish West here but just slightly and certainly not
as much as their regular season game would suggest. In their week 6
meeting Commish rolled 142-85 but with a lineup very similar to the one
they scored 85 with in week 6, the Talbots put up 145 in their wildcard
victory last week. The Talbots have a slight edge at QB but the fact that
Mewelde Moore is their highest scoring RB, I have to give the RB edge to
Commish. And the fact that Moore isn't even starting any more, let's make
that a big edge. At WR I would call it a wash. Because of their running
backs this analysis would indicate an edge for Commish but in the second
half of the season the Talbots have actually averaged 10 more points a
game. So even though the rosters seems to favor Commish, recent production
favors the Talbots. |
|
East Standings |
|
Rk |
Franchise |
PF |
|
1 |
2 Tommy Guns |
1532 |
|
2 |
7 Justice |
1488 |
|
3 |
8 Cleantown |
1478 |
|
4 |
1 Little Johnny's |
1451 |
|
5 |
3 T Bones |
1426 |
|
6 |
4 Green Apple |
1388 |
|
7 |
5 Commish East |
1387 |
|
8 |
10 IC Lightning |
1378 |
|
9 |
6 Rebels |
1328 |
|
10 |
9 Boys of Autumn |
1325 |
|
11 |
11 Aggravators |
1209 |
|
|
Average |
1400 |
East Consolation Tournament
#7 Justice vs. #9 Boys of Autumn
#5 Commish East vs. #11 Aggravators
|
Central Standings |
|
Rk |
Franchise |
PF |
|
1 |
1 Syndicate |
1542 |
|
2 |
5 SS Stoggies |
1490 |
|
3 |
2 Twisted Helmets |
1486 |
|
4 |
4 Weekend Warriors |
1477 |
|
5 |
6 Harmony Hornets |
1417 |
|
6 |
3 Nasty Aggravators |
1371 |
|