Week 10 2009

Pittsburgh Survival Football
Survivor 1: Two of the 8 teams played lost but with just 3 fatalities it had little impact on the contest. The impact was to come from the 44 on Miami who appeared to be headed for a sure loss. The 44 were just about to be pronounced dead but CPR was administered in the form of a last second field goal so they live to see another day. Two went down with Denver and 1 diehard Stiller fan went down with Pittsburgh. Hey I know they were at home but they weren't playing Cleveland. OK 10 weeks are gone and that means each of the 151 remaining survivors have 10 less teams they can choose but last year at this time there were just 37 left and 8 made it all the way!
Survivor 2: Unlike the the first contest there wasn't much drama here as there were just 7 Miami picks, so it wouldn't have been a big deal if they lost. One of the 7 teams picked did lose so there were some casualties. Two souls trusted the Jets at home and it seems without Favre, they can't be trusted anywhere. Last year an unprecedented 70 survived the second contest but this year just 77 will pick in week 11.

Around the League

Week 11: The upcoming week is the final regular season week of the year. After week 11 each team will be assigned a rank from 1 to 11 according to their place in the standings that they will keep throughout the postseason. A team's rank determines who they play in the postseason and is the first tiebreaker. A complete explanation of the postseason can be found in the Playoff Formats page.

Playoff Scenarios: For the sake of simplicity and to avoid listing a slew of highly unlikely possibilities, the scenarios listed in the following Comments & Playoff Scenarios will not take into account 2VP wins or losses.

PFFL EAST

Top Tier
Team	VP	W-L-T	Pts	Comments & Playoff Scenarios
y Justice	26	7-3-0	1329	Comments: Post a new single week high for the year of 204, just the second time the 200 mark has been breached, breaking the Sharks old record of 202 set in week 6 of 2007; huge week and 4-game win streak vaults them into the East lead in both points and the standings for the first time this year; earn their first weekly first and Team of the Week Honors; play the 11th ranked team in points this week; now 3rd overall in total points Scenarios: 4VP win locks up #1 seed; 3VP win locks up top two and 2 byes; can do no worse than 1 bye
y TD's	26	6-4-0	1292	Comments: Solid second place 144 point week puts them back into the top 2 and tied with the leader in VP; move up to 2nd in East points and a solid 5th overall; have over 150 more points than their week 11 opponent Scenarios: win locks up 2 byes; can do no worse than 4th and 1 bye
z IC Lightning	25	5-5-0	1263	Comments: Got mauled by Justice's 204 point blowup and although they drop from 2nd to 3rd, lose just 1VP to the top spot so just 1VP back Scenarios: Need a win and a loss by either Justice or TD's to get 2 byes; 1 VP locks up 1 bye; to lose out on a bye it would take a loss with 0VP, T Bones earn at least 1VP, and a 4VP week by Commish East, Downtowners or Syndicate, or if the T Bones get 0VP two of those three teams would need 4VP
z T Bone	24	6-4-0	1268	Comments: First loss in 5 weeks (to Commish East no less) was very costly dropping them from 1st to 4th; first sub 100 point game also costly dropping them from 1st to 4th in conference points; and now a Michael Turner injury concern Scenarios: Win locks up at least 1 bye and makes top 2 possible; 0VP loss to the Downtowners and they are a wildcard; 1VP loss can still earn a bye if the Downtowners don't earn 4VP, Syndicate and Commish East don't earn 4VP, or if one do earn 4VP and the Lightning earns 0VP; also if the Syndicate is the only one that earns 4VP and the Lightning get at least 1VP, the Syndicate still must outscore them by 61 ... say that three times fast Dean
Middle Tier
z Commish East	21	6-3-1	1069	Comments: How does a team ranked 30 out of 33 teams in points sit in 5th in the standings with a shot at a bye? By being the team ranked best in points against. Or as I like to think of it, by having the #1 defense! Scenarios: Have a wildcard locked up but to earn a bye first must win, the T Bones lose, and match or better any VP earned by the Downtowners and the Syndicate. If the Bones win can still get in with a 4VP win coupled with a 0VP loss by the Lightning.
z Downtowners	21	5-5-0	1287	Comments: Points still solid at 3rd in conference 6th overall but lost a key game this week taking control of a bye out of their hands Scenarios: Wildcard assured but even with a win bye is not; must first beat the T Bones and if they do it all depends on VP earned: if they earn 4VP in the win they are in unless Commish East also earns 4VP or the Syndicate earn 4 and outscore them by 68 or if one of these two do happen they can still get in if the Lightning earn 0VP; if they earn 3VP in the win they need the Bones to come up empty in VP, Commish East lose and the Syndicate get no more than 3VP and don't outscore them by 68 ... Ron why couldn't you have just won?
z Syndicate	21	5-5-0	1219	Comments: Big 4VP win pulls them out of harms way and into a guaranteed postseason game; Scenarios: Wildcard locked up but for a bye of course must first win then basically it's the Downtowners scenario but with consideration for their lower points because they have the exact record and VP total as the Downtowners - actually I just don't want to write it all again.
Darryls	17	4-6-0	1127	Comments: Break a 3 game losing streak with a timely win that doubles their lead over the have-nots; already thin at RB and Ronnie Brown likely out this week so nothing locked up yet Scenarios: No bye possible but only way they don't get a wildcard is if they earn 0VP and the Aggravators earn 4VP
Bottom Tier
Aggravators	13	3-6-1	1037	Comments: Loss critically wounded their playoff hopes but 1VP earned at least puts it on life support Scenarios: Just one, win earn 4VP, Darryls lose get no VP
Twisted Helmets	12	3-7-0	1113	Comments: Ugly 135-85 loss to the Darryls seals the deal unless... Scenarios: Kevin, Wade, Chris, Tom and Mark all chip in and bribe the commissioner
Legion of Doom	11	2-8-0	1092	Comments: Loss to the Average this week spells Gloom for the Doom

x = clinched top 2 y = clinched top 4 z = clinched wildcard

PFFL CENTRAL

Top Tier

Team VP W-L-T
Pts

Comments & Playoff Scenarios

y SS Stoggies 28 7-3-0 1262 Comments: Have caught fire at the right time; come from behind 4VP win on Monday night extends the win streak to 5 and extends their position in the standings to its highest of the year, FIRST; move to within 15 of conference point lead; no firsts but took their third second of the year; have 150 more points than their week 11 opponent;
Scenarios: Win locks up the #1 seed in the Central; can do no worse than third but 2VP lead over both 2nd and 3rd makes a top two finish favorable even with a loss

y TnT 26 7-3-0 1277 Comments: Seventh win eluded them dropping them to 2nd; still lead the conference in points; had the potential points to win easy but... Little Tommy's head has finally deflated to near normal size
Scenarios: Total points dictate will finish with one of the top 3 positions; top 3 teams are all within 2VP and 60 points of each other so multiple scenarios here as to where they finish but it will be 1,2,or 3.

y Reno
26 7-3-0 1217 Comments: Key win over TnT secures at least 1 bye and puts them in position for a top two and 2 byes; solid 3rd in conference points and play the last place team in both the standings and points this week
Scenarios: same scenario as TnT except they have a 60 point disadvantage and where they finish includes 4th

z Pretty Kitty Central 22 6-4-0 1164 Comments: After dropping two in a row come back with a key week 10 victory that puts them back in the realm of the byes; play the team after their spot the 5th place JR's Boys so destiny entirely in their own hands
Scenarios: Points prohibit two byes so it's all or nothing for 1 bye; win and they receive a bye, lose they're a wildcard

Middle Tier

z JR's Boys
21 6-4-0 1145 Comments: Loss keeps the door shut on the byes but schedule gives them the key to get in; Michael Turner injury a big concern though
Scenarios: Play the 4th place Pretty Kitty so nice and simple, win a bye, lose a wildcard

z Boys of Autumn
21 5-5-0 1191 Comments: Luck is no lady here as they come in third only to play the second team for the week and now will be without both Ronnie Brown and Portis for the upcoming game against the second place TnT; on the positive side they did earn 2VP in the loss
Scenarios: Wildcard locked up but have one chance and one only for a bye: First must have a 4VP win; second JR's Boys must beat Pretty Kitty and get no more than 3VP in doing so

z Cleantown 20 6-4-0 1138 Comments: Spent weeks 4 thru 7 in first but three straight losses have plummeted them to 7th; win total guarantees them a wildcard but losing streak has made a bye a long shot; and now with injuries to Benson and Jennings, a real long shot
Scenarios: Like the Boys of Autumn have just one scenario for a bye: First must beat Smiley's Snipers a team that just scored 171 points and earn all 4VP in doing so; second Boys of Autumn must earn less than 4VP; third the JR's Boys must beat Pretty Kitty and earn less than 4VP in doing so... Kevin I know you have the means but that's a lot of people to bribe

Smiley's Snipers
17 3-7-0 1194 Comments: Monster 171 point week gives them 2 wins in a row allowing them to escape from the dungeon where they have spent the last 7 weeks; had a potential of 201 points; actually 4th in conference points but unlucky with the most points against in the conference so a definite sleeper team
Scenarios: 4VP win secures a bye but because of their low win total anything less and the door is open for the Nasty Aggravators and a loss brings Little Johnny's in play

Bottom Tier

Nasty Aggravators 16 4-6-0 1111 Comments: Break a four game losing steak just in time to give them one last shot at a playoff birth; remain stagnate in the standings 1VP out but win keeps them alive at least
Scenarios: First of all must earn 1VP more than the Snipers; if they do this with a win they are in; if they do this with a loss that leaves the door open for Little Johnny's to steal the spot

Little Johnny's 14 3-7-0 1131 Comments: Three game win streak got them out of the doldrums for the first time this year but loss to Aggravators this week puts them right back in the muck; destiny not in their own hands but if the Snipers and Aggravators falter, destiny back in their hands because they play the average and can only be beaten by themselves
Scenarios: both the Snipers and Aggravators must first lose for any chance at a wildcard so assuming they both lose: if the Snipers earn 1VP in the loss they must earn 4VP; if the Snipers earn 0VP a 3VP week earns them a wildcard; if the Snipers earn 0VP and the Aggravators earn 1VP, 4VP earns them a wildcard or 3VP as long as the Aggravators don't outscore them by 20

Weekend Warriors 13 2-8-0 1092 Comments: In week 4 they were 2-2 and basically in the middle of the pack, but 6 straight losses culminating with the Snipers wiping them out 171-107 this week has bottomed them out; but always the optimist, mathematically they are still alive
Scenarios: Ok remember I said mathematically not practicality; if all three teams above them lose and both the Snipers and Aggravators get 0VP, all they need to do is win with 4VP and outscore the Snipers by 102 for a wildcard... all three of my starting RB's left the game hurt and two aren't coming back at all so yeah, I believe anything's possible

x = clinched top 2 y = clinched top 4 z = clinched wildcard

PFFL WEST

Top Tier

Team VP W-L-T
Pts

Comments & Playoff Scenarios

Y Knockout Kings 30 7-2-1 1363 Comments: Hold on to the summit with their seventh win against a league low two losses; have held the top spot for six straight weeks now; have the most VP in the league 30; second in conference points but also second overall; destiny totally in their own hands as they have a showdown for conference supremacy with second place MNE this week
Scenarios: A win and the West #1 ranking is all theirs; a loss could still get them 2 byes in second if Archie's also lose but if Archie's win they could drop to third and 1 bye all depending on VP earned and points scored

Y MNE 28 7-3-0 1317 Comments: Have been relentless in hanging on to second improving their win streak to 5; did lose 1VP to the Kings putting them 2VP back but since they play them this week it doesn't really matter; where it could matter though is with Archie's who they are now tied with in VP; still lead the league in PP and PWR
Scenarios: After 5 straight weeks in second have a chance to grab the #1 seed in the West with their final week matchup against the KO Kings; a win guarantees 2 byes; a 4VP win guarantees the top seed; a 3VP win allows Archie's to steal the top spot with a 4VP win

y Archie's
28 6-4-0 1381 Comments: Lost the single week high to Justice but didn't lose their game, their #1 league point ranking, their #1 coaching ranking, or their #1 weekly winnings ranking; did lose their nice guy image though after destroying Commish East by 80 points... Archibald, thought you would at least take your starters out when you got up 50!
Scenarios: Just one scenario to earn the top spot, they must win and earn all 4VP then have MNE beat the KO Kings but earn no more than 3VP in doing so; If MNE beat the Kings with 4VP then second can be theirs if they get 4VP to the Kings 1 or 3VP to the Kings 0. A drop to fourth is possible with a 0VP week but 1 bye assured

z Irish Talbots 24 5-4-1 1228 Comments: Second straight win maintains a 3VP gap over 5th and also puts 6th out of range so only 1 team to worry about this week; may have to play without Cedric Benson though
Scenarios: Can't do better than 1 bye so it's all about holding on to it; a win or a French River loss equals 1 bye; if they lose however they must stay 1VP ahead of the River or the River steals the bye

Middle Tier

z French River
21 6-4-0 1191 Comments: Match the Talbots two straight wins to keep the gap at 3VP and keep the arithmetic in the realm of possibility; according to the statistics anyway play the worst team in the league this week Commish West so just need the Talbots to cooperate to earn a bye
Scenarios: Must win and Talbots must lose first off; if that happens they have the tie breaker advantage (wins) so just need to tie the Talbots in VP to take their bye; that means if the Talbots get 1VP in a loss they must earn 4VP in their win but if the Talbots come up empty in VP they will just need a 3VP win to walk away with the bye

J&J
18 5-5-0 1099 Comments: Were on a roll via a two game win streak but lineup decisions cost them a third straight win that would have locked up at least a wildcard; a bye still would have been a reach but now their wildcard birth is in reach of others
Scenarios: A win makes the point moot and even with a loss the odds are heavily in their favor but a loss does make it possible they lose out; first off both the Rounder and Brookline would have to win along with a loss to Pretty Kitty; if that 3 team parlay would hit it would come down to VP earned by Pretty Kitty and them; if they end up tied in VP Pretty Kitty would still have to outscore them by 9 or more

Rounder 17 17 4-6-0 1124 Comments: Stopped an ugly five game slide with a mauling of the average to pull them out of the cellar at a crucial moment; slide caused in part by bad luck in the points against category with most in the conference; can't earn a bye but the key win puts their destiny in their own hands at least
Scenarios: Assured of a wildcard with a 4VP win; anything less and everything is predicated on the VP they earn and what Brookline and Pretty Kitty do and even B&B could come into play if they lose

Brookline
17 4-6-0 1089 Comments: Untimely loss puts them on shaky ground but still have control of their future at least; unfortunately that future holds a game with the league leader in points Archie's and you know how they love to run up the score
Scenarios: 4VP win and what anyone else does doesn't matter but anything less and it's every man for himself

Bottom Tier

Pretty Kitty West 16 4-6-0 1090 Comments: With so many trades orchestrated by Marty, it may have been different players losing every week but four straight losses were credited to one team; a four game losing streak has them on the outside looking in but with a game against J&J this week they still have control of the outcome
Scenarios: I'd like to say a win and they're in but with five teams fighting for three spots it's anything but simple; there are so many scenarios working here that it's possible they lose and and still get a wildcard; the real mystery is what team they will field this week

B&B 14 4-6-0 1051 Comments: Back to back losses have thwarted their comeback efforts leaving them hanging by a thread in the final week; have 4 wins but 1219 points scored against has taken its toll; in intensive care but at least not deceased
Scenarios: The situation may look disobliging but the schedule is cooperating at least; it's cooperating so much the possibility of a wildcard with just 3VP exists; again too may scenarios to list but the bottom line is they need a win and hope some of the teams above them lose

Commish West 11 3-7-0 994 Comments: Turn out the lights, the party's over

x = clinched top 2 y = clinched top 4 z = clinched wildcard

PFFL Information		League Leaders
Week 11 Byes	Byes have ended	Total Points	Archie's	1381
Free Agency	Tue Noon thru Fri 8pm	Power Rank	MNE	37.55
Next Calendar Event	Trading Deadline Sunday, Nov. 22	Coaching	Archie's	93.6
Next Calendar Event	Trading Deadline Sunday, Nov. 22	High Week	Justice - wk 10	204
Weekly Meetings	Every Wed Evening	Weekly Winnings	Archie's

PFFL STUFF

The Score: It wasn't as explosive as last week but Week 10's scoring was definitely on the volatile side at 122.7, the third highest of the year. Justice's record-breaking 204 pumped up the East to 127 while the Central and West clocked in at 121 and 120 respectively, making all three conferences well above average for the week. The current average rose a half point from 117.1 to 117.6. The yearly average has risen almost two full points the last two weeks.

Deal or no Deal: The Trading Deadline is this Sunday at 3:00 am making this the last week of active trading. In a proactive move the PFFL is preparing to put Marty of the Pretty Kitty teams on a suicide watch just after midnight Sunday.

Note: A word of caution in regards to the Thursday games and waivers and trades. If you drop or trade a player that already played in your Thursday lineup, you will not be able to change your lineup without having that player removed from your lineup. Any player in your lineup on Thursday must remain on your roster thru the weekend.

PFFL Postseason Weeks 12 - 16

Top Tier - Playoffs with byes
1st & 2nd	Receive 2 byes weeks 12 & 13
3rd & 4th	Receive 1 bye week 12
Middle Tier - Playoff Wildcards
5th - 8th	Wildcards play in week 12
Bottom Tier - Consolation Tournament
9th	Receive 1 bye week 12
10th & 11th	Compete week 12 first round

Did You Know Stuff

● Including this week there are 3 weeks of waivers remaining. Starting with next week's waivers, teams may increase their rosters to 20 and pick up as many as 5 players each week in the final two waiver weeks.

● There not only was no close games this week but almost every game was a blowout. The closest game of the week was a 7-point average win over the JR's Boys in the Central. No other games were decided by 10 or less and two games were won by 80 or more.

● From here on out teams will just have injuries to deal with as the NFL byes are over.

● Not one team in the league has earned an x designation this year. Every top two position is still up for grabs in the final week.

● The 1972 Miami Dolphins may have been perfect but their opponents were anything but. Their regular season opponents had an overall winning percentage of .375, one of the lowest percentages in history. They also barely got by their playoff opponents.

● There is One (1) regular season game remaining.

Total Point Rankings
Rk	Franchise	PF
1	z Archie's	1381
2	z Knockout Kings	1363
3	z Justice	1329
4	z MNE	1317
5	z TD's	1292
6	Downtowners	1287
7	z TnT	1277
8	z T Bones	1268
9	z IC Lightning	1263
10	z SS Stoggies	1262
11	Irish Talbots	1228
12	Syndicate	1219
13	z Reno	1217
14	Smiley's Snipers	1194
15	Boys of Autumn	1191
16	French River	1191
17	Pretty Kitty Central	1164
18	JR's Boys	1145
19	Cleantown	1138
20	Little Johnny's	1131
21	Darryls	1127
22	Rounder 17	1124
23	Twisted Helmets	1113
24	Nasty Aggravators	1111
25	J&J	1099
26	Legion of Doom	1092
27	Weekend Warriors	1092
28	Pretty Kitty West	1090
29	Brookline	1089
30	Commish East	1069
31	B&B	1051
32	Aggravators	1037
33	Commish West	994
	Average	1180