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PFFL Second Round
Matchups |
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East |
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#1 Cleantown vs. #5
Capital |
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Bye |
The first half of the year
Cleantown was the clear #1 team in the league. They averaged 155 points a
week and pulled in two firsts, one a TOTW and three seconds in the first
six weeks. The second half was night to the first day averaging just 117
and that includes their 166 in week 12. They actually averaged 106 the
final five regular season weeks but as you well know still won the #1
seed. How the hell did they do that? But I digress as I am inclined to do
when discussing this team. With Forte out they may need more of what ever
it was that got them the #1 seed with all those loses. Their opponent already had the RB
advantage and Brees gives them the clear QB advantage so they will have to
rely on what got them here in the first place, their WRs. There they do
have a decisive advantage. And they will need to exploit that advantage
heavily with a RB core of CJ Spiller and Beanie Wells against SF of all
things. But does it really matter with this team? If they can win the #1
seed without a win in their last five games they can certainly win without
Forte. They probably lost him on purpose as if to say we can beat you with
one hand tied behind our backs. But again I digress...
With a 97.9 rating Capital got every ounce of potential out of their squad and at the
same time catch an up and down IC Lightning team on one of their downs. The
Lightning's superior WRs did their job but just 10 points from the RB
position compared to Capital's 50 was the difference. Injuries have ruled
this season and McFadden's injury helped rule out the Lightning.
Rice and Brees are the key to Capital's team but Gerhart gave them a 21
point lift this week helping them advance to the second round. Cleantown
will be without Forte but their WRs alone are good enough to carry them.
They may need Gerhart to come through again so they need to hope AP isn't
ready to come back because they don't have AP and they have nothing of
note to replace Gerhart. The circumstances of injury and schedule actually
favor Capital this week but considering their opponent is maybe the
greatest enigma team of all time, no way I predict against them.
Previous Meeting Week 10: Capital 133 - Cleantown 109
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YTD Starter Points by Position |
|
Team |
QB |
RB |
WR/TE |
K |
DEF |
Total |
| #1 Cleantown |
282 |
425 |
812 |
125 |
108 |
1752 |
| #5 Capital |
350 |
536 |
521 |
118 |
113 |
1638 |
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5 Capital |
143 |
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4 IC Lightning |
116 |
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#2 Cousins Mc vs. #3 Degos R Us |
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Bye |
This is a team that has spent the
entire season in the top four and a good bit of that in second but because
of all the attention that has been going Cleantown's way, they have gone
mostly unnoticed. But any team with Aaron Rodgers shouldn't go unnoticed
as every one who has him is competing this week in the playoffs. Obviously
with him they get the clear advantage at QB as the chart below indicates.
The chart also shows a slight WR advantage but if Andre Johnson had been
Andre Johnson all year it would be more than slight; but since that's not
the case we will sort of wash the position. Where it seems Cuz is
vulnerable is RB. The chart shows a clear advantage to the Degos and if it
weren't for the injury to McFadden that made Bush a valuable commodity, it
would even be worse. But as usual they will be relying on Rodgers and his
30 point average and if the rest can at least modestly contribute, they
have an excellent chance of advancing. Not sure why they are carrying four
defenses but considering their opponent has Baltimore it really doesn't
matter which one they use.
An injury can determine who wins or loses at any time and there were two
key injuries in the Degos round 1 game of note. Taking a zero at any position
is costly but when it's a RB it's especially dangerous. Starks leaving
early before he could contribute even one point gave the Syndicate an
opening to exploit. But for the second straight week in the middle of what
looked to ultimately be another possible monster game, the Syndicate lose Kevin Smith to
injury. They got away with it in the wildcard round just barely with a
one-point win but the Degos Chris Johnson's second straight big week
didn't allow it this time. The way Smith was racking up points you have to
believe the Syndicate may have won and probably easily if he plays the
entire game. After a slow start the Degos have been red hot the second
half of the season corresponding to the surging of Reggie Bush and the
resurgence of CJ2K. If they both continue to produce they will have an
excellent chance to advance and if they do it just might come down to
Romo. If he can off set Rodgers with a big day of his own, advantage goes
to the Gumbas.
Previous Meeting Week 1: Cousins Mc 159 - Degos R Us 131
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YTD Starter Points by Position |
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Team |
QB |
RB |
WR/TE |
K |
DEF |
Total |
| #2 Cousins Mc |
377 |
383 |
656 |
144 |
124 |
1684 |
| #3 Degos R Us |
256 |
513 |
579 |
121 |
158 |
1627 |
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6 Syndicate |
115 |
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3 Dego's R Us |
125 |
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Third Round East CT Matchups
#4 IC Lightning vs. #10 Midquippa - #6 Syndicate vs. #7
Commish West |
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Central |
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#1 Park Valley vs. #8 Sharks |
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Bye |
Lots of factors involved in
fantasy success but all of it rolled up into one is simply called things
just going your way. The Valley slip into the top spot on the final day
because of Arnie losing thereby drawing the worst team in the playoffs
(nothing personal here Franklin it's just you have the least points of all
the remaining playoff teams). Even recent injuries to other team's players have strengthened their
roster with players like Barber now becoming relevant and even Victor Cruz
getting more action with Manningham out. A lot of things have to go your
way to win a championship. I have never seen a team enduring misfortune
win it all. Never. Part of that things going your way is the matchups in a
particular week. Good teams have become mediocre when their matchups are
bad. The Sharks have Brees and he has been carry them but not only does
the Valley have Rodgers, their matchups this week are good and the Sharks'
suspect at best. Barring a sudden onslaught of misfortune, the Valley
should advance here and easily.
The Sharks have certainly been the Cinderella story of the year. We have
said it seems they are doing it with mirrors but this week at least they
did it with a lot of points. Below the league average in points they still
manage a winning record and get into the playoffs by the skin of their
teeth. Once in the playoffs their below average players like Shonn Greene
decide to start playing with 32 point outbursts. The reality of the
playoffs or any game for that matter is any given Sunday. Can the Sharks
continue beating the odds. Well the stats and even worse the matchups
don't favor them this week but they probably didn't favor them the last
two weeks either. The odds say no but no way am I counting you totally out Franklin.
Previous Meeting Week 2: Sharks 114 - Park Valley 92
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YTD Starter Points by Position |
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Team |
QB |
RB |
WR/TE |
K |
DEF |
Total |
| #1 Park Valley |
379 |
400 |
669 |
120 |
151 |
1719 |
| #8 Sharks |
350 |
431 |
500 |
108 |
125 |
1514 |
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8 Sharks |
160 |
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3 JR's Boys |
116 |
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#2 Arnie's Army vs. #4 H Hammers |
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Bye |
The Army didn't lose a bye in
their week 11 loss that cost them the #1 ranking, but it did lose them a
game with the lowest ranked team. Instead of playing the Sharks, a team
whose total points are not just under the playoff team average but under
the league average as well, they get Tom Brady and the Hammers this week.
But maybe it's a blessing in disguise. The Hammers have some injury issues
and just got by their week 13 opponent by 6 points. Anyone with Brady is
always dangerous but if AP remains on the bench and Kevin Smith doesn't
play, they may be better off playing them than a red hot #8 ranked Sharks team. But
if AP does come back and Smith who has shown the capability of huge games
if he stays on the field is able to play, that week 11 loss could come
back to haunt them.
I'm sure the Hammers were regretting leaving Kevin Smith on the bench even
after he got hurt because before he left he had 20 points. But they didn't
regret it for long because it actually had no bearing on the outcome of
the game as would have any moves the TD's would have made different from
what they did. This was just a closely fought game that ended up in their
column. They now get the Army and Ray Rice. They counter with Brady but
the intangible here is Kevin Smith. In theory if projected out for four
full quarters at the rate he was scoring he is the #1 back in the league.
Of course it's theory because he hasn't played enough to truly be judged. The WR edge goes to the Army here but it's hard to handicap
this game because it's hard to know who is playing or who these two teams
will even choose to play. I will say this: If AP is healthy and plays and
Smith plays also, I think the Hammers win. And if Smith plays four
quarters, they win easy.
Previous Meeting Week 5: Arnie's Army 112 - H Hammers 96
|
YTD Starter Points by Position |
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Team |
QB |
RB |
WR/TE |
K |
DEF |
Total |
| #2 Arnie's Army |
279 |
574 |
549 |
116 |
132 |
1650 |
| #4 H Hammers |
337 |
480 |
473 |
127 |
130 |
1547 |
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|
7 TD's |
121 |
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4 H Hammers |
127 |
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Second Round Central CT Matchups
#3 JR's Boys vs. #11 Snake & Shake - #7 TD's vs. #9 Bartertown
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West |
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#1 Bid 66 Bandits vs. #4 Detroit Lions |
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Bye |
Nobody realizes yet but this is
probably the new #1 team in the league. They don't have Rodgers but they
have the next best thing in Cam Newton who is just a couple points a week
behind. Their shrewd bartering has acquired arguably the best RB corps in
the league in Foster, MJD and Helu; yes Helu. If Shanahan stops the
shenanigans and continues using him the way he has the past two weeks, he is a
guarantee 25 or more points a week. MJD gets the ball more than any other
RB in the league and whose better than Foster. Their WR corps is solid
enough also especially if they only have to play 3 because they can play 3
RBs. They don't get a pushover this week as the Lions have some players
also but it's the Lions that get the bad draw here.
The Lions were actually down 18 going into Monday night and although they
had 3 players left, 18 points still have to be earned. Considering Ryan
Mathews alone covered the 18 we'll move on. We remarked last week they
would need a good game from McCoy and of course they got one. When did he
have a bad one this year? Well I do have to say they get an unlucky draw
because no team has been better than the Bandits in the second half
of the season. The last six weeks they have averaged 146 points, by far
the most of any team in any conference. If the Bandits don't go ballistic
which their players are capable of, the Lions have enough good
players to upset. I do believe
they will need a big game from Fitz to stay competitive however.
Previous Meeting Week 1: Bid 66 Bandits 150 - Detroit Lions 110
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YTD Starter Points by Position |
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Team |
QB |
RB |
WR/TE |
K |
DEF |
Total |
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#1 Bid 66 Bandits |
329 |
597 |
513 |
162 |
145 |
1746 |
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#4 Detroit Lions |
249 |
519 |
569 |
116 |
125 |
1578 |
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6 B&B |
120 |
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4 Detroit Lions |
143 |
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#2 Schleprock vs. #3 Brookline
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Bye |
About a month ago the things we
are now saying about the Bandits we were saying about Schleprock. But
since then we found out that McFadden may not be ready, Kevin Smith can't
stay on the field that is if he even gets on the field this week, and
Miles Austin is unsure to play and even if he does his effectiveness is in
question with Robinson added to the mix. They do have Brees but although
it's not a huge gap, they still have to concede the position because of
Rodgers. The chart shows them at least with the RB advantage but not
really with their injuries and Brookline has a great matchup for Lynch
against St. Louis so forget what the chart shows unless Kevin Smith plays
and plays the whole game anyway. And that brings us to the WR position and
as you can see below, that is Brookline's strength. As they say that was
then and this is now and now will be determined by who does and doesn't
play this week.
After three straight sub-100 point games and a drop out of the top two,
Brookline once again showed what they are capable of blowing out the
Snipers with a 164-point explosion. Shonn Greene finally earned his keep,
Rodgers did what he normally does, and Lynch has proven to be a very
valuable commodity these days. We don't expect Greene to put up 32 points
again but against the Rams Lynch probably will. And Calvin Johnson gets to
go up against Minnesota's pass defense rated last in the NFL. Between Schleprock's injury
problems and their good matchups, all you need now is a Maclin return to
Brookline's lineup to make a clear cut favorite. But I will reiterate: if
Kevin Smith plays and plays the whole game, all bets are off - on
Brookline anyway.
Previous Meeting Week 7: Brookline 146 - Schleprock 123
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YTD Starter Points by Position |
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Team |
QB |
RB |
WR/TE |
K |
DEF |
Total |
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#2 Schleprock |
325 |
671 |
518 |
88 |
126 |
1728 |
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#3 Brookline |
387 |
383 |
708 |
128 |
91 |
1697 |
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8 Smiley's Snipers |
129 |
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3 Brookline |
164 |
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Second Round West CT Matchups
#5 Irish Talbots vs. #9 Archie's - #6 B&B vs. #8 Smiley's
Snipers
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